Improvement of the energy demand model in the ADAM/EMMA

The purpose of the project is to develop a new version of the ADAM-EMMA model system, which is empirically and theoretically superior to the present version. The project can be split into the following, partly independent sub-projects. 1 ) Households. Transportation energy: The choice between individual and collective transportation is described in an integrated model, such that the price on one transportation form influences the quantity of the other form in a theoretically consistent manner. Electricity and heating: The demand of households for energy is decribed in a model simultaneously determining the purchase of energy consuming devices. This means that the purchase of such a device has consequences for the energy demand in subsequent periods. Energy prices will have effects partly through changes in the stock of devices, partly through a different use of the stock. 2) Industries. Transportation: The transportation choice of industries is endogenized. The experience from an ongoing, partly EFP financed research project at the DMU is applied. Electricity and other non-transportation energy: The energy demand is analyzed using a more general production structure than the present one. In particular, as in the case of household demand, the energy demand will be linked to the stock of devices. Panel data estimates: It is analysed, whether parameter estimates based on a panel data set of individual industries can be exploited in EMMA. The experience and estimations from an ongoing EFP research project at AKF are applied. 3. New user version of ADAM-EMMA. New types of emissions are included in the model. The result of the project is a new version of ADAM-EMMA, which is distributed to the users of ADAM