Household demand for electricity and natural gas

The main objective of the project is to construct and analyse a large data set with information about energy consumption of individual households. The data set is constructed by merging administrative register data from different sources and contains information that characterises the individual household composition, income and dwelling. The data set covers the period 1990-1997.

Project description

The purpose of the study proposed here is to make an econometric analysis of the demand for energy in the household sector in Denmark. The project will focus on demand for electricity and gas. The analysis will be based on merged register-based data from Statistics Denmark, HNG, and NESA. The project will include a PhD project, and is planned to take three years. The analysis will make it possible to determine income elasticities, own-price, and cross-price elasticities of different types of consumers. For example, the great detail of the data applied makes it possible to determine the effect of age of the people living in the household on demand for electricity and natural gas. Similarly, the link between consumption of electricity and natural gas and the number of people per household, their socioeconomic grouping, educational level, labour market status, type of dwelling, size of dwelling, age of dwelling and the like can be established. An analysis will be based on a very large register-based panel data set that includes information about individual household characteristics. The core of the register-based data set is the 10 % register of AKF. To this register will be merged information about individual households' consumption of electricity and natural gas. This is a very comprehensive and hereby interesting data set. For a complete analysis, the data set, however, will be supplemented with other types of data, including aggregate time series data

Results

As an integral part of the project Søren Leth-Petersen has prepared a Ph.D. dissertation. The dissertation contains five chapters. (1) Demand for Space Heating in Apartment Blocks: Measuring Effects of Policy Measures Aiming at Reducing Energy Consumption; (2) Micro Econometric Modelling of Household Energy Use: Testing for Dependence between Demand for Electricity and Natural Gas; (3) Imputing Consumption from Income Tax Registers; (4) Residential Demand for Heating in Liberalised Electricity Markets. Evidence from Denmark and Norway; (5) Habit Formation in the Consumption of Energy by Households. (1) contains an analysis of consumption of energy in apartment blocks. The paper quantifies the effect of a number of policy initiatives aiming at reducing consumption of energy. Results among other things indicate that green taxes have had a limited short-run effect. Moreover, a consultancy scheme introduced to inform about energy savings potentials is found to have a limited effect. The second paper contains an analysis of the data set constructed from administrative register data. The analysis is limited to households living in single family owner-occupied houses, and the analysis focuses on observations from one year, 1996. The analysis shows the fairly surprising result that demand for heating is unaffected by the presence of children. On the other hand, evidence also points towards children impacting the consumption level of electricity. The analysis also shows that consumption of both gas and electricity is increasing with income. The model has also been estimated on the Danish Expenditure Survey, cf. (4), which is a random sample drawn from the Danish population, and the results from (2) are confirmed. The results from these two studies are of great importance among other things for policy makers evaluating the distributional impacts of green taxes on electricity and gas. The analysis presented in (2) also shows that households do not substitute between gas and electricity in the short run, i.e. for given technology. This is in contrast to Norway where households often are equipped with heating equipment that uses several different energy camers, cf. (4), enabling them to substitute between the use of different energy carriers in the short run. This implies that Norwegian households are more able to exploit short-run price variations in the electricity price that emerge following the liberalisation of the electricity market. One of the important problems of using administrative register data for consumption analysis is that no information on total expenditure (and hence savings for a given level of income) is available. In (2) this is solved by imputing total expenditure from the information available in the income tax registers. (3) shows that this methods is indeed valid for the major part of the data. This is likely to be of importance also to future research on consumption behaviour. The final paper (5) investigates if demand for energy is habit forening. Habits are often referred to by policy makers when initiating informational campaigns aiming at reducing consumption of energy. Habit formation implies among other things that consumption is increasing over the lifecycle of a household. The analysis shows that the traditional economic definition of habit formation does not give a sufficient description of the data. The evidence suggests that households use rule-of-thumb behaviour when making decisions about consumption of energy

Key figures

Period:
1999 - 2003
Funding year:
1999
Own financial contribution:
2.14 mio. DKK
Grant:
1.68 mio. DKK
Funding rate:
44 %
Project budget:
3.82 mio. DKK

Category

Oprindelig title
Husholdningernes energiforbrug - Kombineret analyse af detaljerede individdata og aggregerede data
Programme
EFP
Technology
Other
Project type
Analyse
Case no.
1753/99-0024

Participants

KORA, Det Nationale Institut for Kommuners og Regioners Analyse og Forskning (Main Responsible)
Partners and economy
Partner Subsidy Auto financing
Københavns Universitet
Hovedstadsregionens Naturgas I/S
NESA A/S

Contact

Kontakperson
Togeby, Mikael
Comtact information
Amternes og Kommunernes Forskningsinstitut
Nyropsgade 37
DK-1602 København V, Denmark
Togeby, Mikael (forskningsleder), 33110200, mt@akf.dk
Øvr. Partnere: Københavns Universitet. Økonomisk Institut; Hovedstadsregiones Naturgas I/S; NESA A/S

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