Structural change in the economy, technological development in energy use and energy demand
The project has been carried out as a PhD project, and the dissertation discusses three different issues related to long-term energy demand: 1) the importance of technological change and its representation in energy-economy modelling, 2) a possible integration of two different modelling approaches, and 3) the effect on energy demand of structural changes exemplified by changes in a specific sector and in overall trade patterns.
The project focusses on long-term energy demand. The interactions between structural economic changes, technological development in energy use, institutional changes and energy demand are analysed. A theoritical framework for energy demand analysis is discussed, taking different views from international studies into consideration. Industrial energy demand is analysed to describe relations between different economic developments for industries and the development in energy effiency and energy demand. Industry-specific technologies in energy use will be included in the analysis. Results will be incorporated in existing models to describe energy demand in the Danish case. Regulation and institutional changes will be included in the project as determinants for energy demand if any relevance is found. Aspects of uncertainty in the macroeconomic determined relations and technology developments based on investments is another part of the study. The rpoject is carried out as a Ph.D. study in energy economics at Copenhagen University and runs from July 1996 to December 1998
The introductory chapter includes an overview of possible relations between long-term energy demand and the economy, technical progress, demography, social conditions and politics. The first two papers discuss the importance for projections of long-term energy demand of the way in which technological progress is modelled. These papers focus on energy-economy modelling. A paper dealing with two differnet approaches to energy demand modelling and the possible integration of these approaches in the Danish case follows next. The integrated Danish model described, is then used for analysing different revenue recycling principles in relation to a CO_2 tax. In this paper, the effect of subsidising biomass use is compared with recycling through corporate tax rates. Then one paper follows describing the structural change of a specific sector, namely the energy supply sector, and the implications for long-term energy demand. The last two papers are devoted to the structural change of trade patterns and its implications for long-term energy demand from industries and the effects on trade from changes in energy technology
Key figures
Category
Participants
| Partner | Subsidy | Auto financing |
|---|---|---|
| No entries available. | ||
Contact
Postboks 49
DK-4000 Roskilde, Denmark
Klinge Jakobsen, Henrik (forsker), 46774677,
Øvr. Partnere:
