Improved wind power prediction in connection with stochastic optimization of electricity systems

This project is one of several projects with the common purpose of predicting electricity generation from a wind farm for up to 48-60 hours based on meteorological forecasts.
Project description

This project is one of several projects with the common purpose of predicting electricity generation from a wind farm for up to 48-60 hours based on meteorological forecasts. The project showed that 50% of the errors in wind-power predictions for the coming hour can be explained by spatial-temporal correlation where forecasts for an entire region are adjusted according to deviations in the first wind-turbine areas in the region. Moreover, the project concluded that use of several meteorological forecasts may improve wind-power predictions by 5-15%.

Results

This project is one of several projects with the common purpose of predicting electricity generation from a wind farm for up to 48-60 hours based on meteorological forecasts. The project showed that 50% of the errors in wind-power predictions for the coming hour can be explained by spatial-temporal correlation where forecasts for an entire region are adjusted according to deviations in the first wind-turbine areas in the region. Moreover, the project concluded that use of several meteorological forecasts may improve wind-power predictions by 5-15%.

Key figures

Period:
2005 - 2007
Funding year:
2005
Own financial contribution:
0.08 mio. DKK
Grant:
0.81 mio. DKK
Funding rate:
91 %
Project budget:
0.89 mio. DKK

Category

Oprindelig title
Forbedret vindkraftforudsigelse i forbindelse med stokastisk optimering af elsystemer
Programme
ForskEL
Technology
Wind
Case no.
5766

Participants

Danmarks Tekniske Universitet (DTU) (Main Responsible)
Partners and economy
Partner Subsidy Auto financing
No entries available.

Contact

Kontakperson
Madsen, Henrik
Comtact information
DTU Informatik
Richard Petersens Plads bygn. 321
DK-2800 Kgs. Lyngby, Denmark
Madsen, Henrik , 45253408, hm@imm.dtu.dk
Øvr. Partnere:

Energiforskning.dk - informationportal for danish energytechnology research- og development programs.

Logo innovationsfonden
Logo for EUDP
Logo for elforsk